Author Topic: coronavirus  (Read 5683 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.


adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #31 on: March 06, 2020, 11:17:13 pm »
0
https://twitter.com/sethbannon/status/1236125593290276864

Quote
American Hospital Association "Best Guess Epidemiology" for #codiv19 over next 2 months:

96,000,000 infections
4,800,000 hospitalizations
1,900,000 ICU admissions
480,000 deaths

vs flu in 2019:

35,500,000 infections
490,600 hospitalizations
49,000 ICU admissions
34,200 deaths

adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #32 on: March 07, 2020, 12:48:09 am »
0
how long before pro athletes test positive?

will the nba eventually see high infection rates? i mean.. they are in close contact, perspiring all over the ball/each other, "droplets" everywhere. if someone has it right now, the entire league could be infected within a few weeks.

fuckin nuts.

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #33 on: March 07, 2020, 12:53:08 am »
+1
Seattle is a ghost town: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/us/seattle-stays-home.html

I estimate that within a couple of weeks every major metropolitan area in the usa is in the same situation as Seattle (not because the virus will suddenly explode, but because testing will finally reveal the spread throughout the country.)


Here's a frightening video of people fighting over toilet paper in Australia: https://twitter.com/BangXiao_/status/1236109649402707968

There's a lot of concerned people out there that consider the last few days to be the "mass panic", but imo they don't realize that this is just the early stages of the pandemic; the real panic has yet to come. How will western society react once they realize their city is now an epicenter of an outbreak and a potential quarantine is being imposed?
« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 12:58:05 am by robo »

adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #34 on: March 07, 2020, 12:57:26 am »
0
this photo freaks me out:


robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #35 on: March 07, 2020, 01:07:42 am »
+1
How will the global economy be impacted by the novel coronavirus? The N.A. stock markets have had a rough couple of weeks and it may continue to get worse in the upcoming months. I recently accepted a new job and tbh I'm getting increasingly worried about job stability in the next few months. 

Sequoia Capital (a major tech VC firm) considers the virus to be a "black swan" event: https://medium.com/sequoia-capital/coronavirus-the-black-swan-of-2020-7c72bdeb9753

Quote
What is a Black Swan?
A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, their severe impact, and the practice of explaining widespread failure to predict them as simple folly in hindsight.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/blackswan.asp

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #36 on: March 07, 2020, 01:16:53 am »
+1
Interesting threads on the potential spread of the virus in the next few weeks.

Trevor Bedford | Scientist @fredhutch, studying viruses, evolution and immunity

https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1236097553520660483

Quote
Using forward simulation, with a doubling time of 6.2 (5.1, 8.2) days, we estimate the prevalence of active infections on Mar 5 is 620 (90% uncertainty interval 120, 1600). 4/7

If growth continues unabated, this cluster alone may be responsible for 1100 (210, 2800) active infections by March 10 and 2000 (370, 5000) by March 15. 5/7




Liz Specht | Assoc. Director of Science & Technology @GoodFoodInst

She just extrapolated the data from Trevor's (above) data modeling.
https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909

Quote
We’re looking at about 1M US cases by the end of April, 2M by ~May 5, 4M by ~May 11, and so on. Exponentials are hard to grasp, but this is how they go. 4/n

adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #37 on: March 07, 2020, 01:17:22 am »
+1
Seattle is a ghost town: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/us/seattle-stays-home.html

I estimate that within a couple of weeks every major metropolitan area in the usa is in the same situation as Seattle (not because the virus will suddenly explode, but because testing will finally reveal the spread throughout the country.)


Here's a frightening video of people fighting over toilet paper in Australia: https://twitter.com/BangXiao_/status/1236109649402707968

damn that vid is pretty nuts. easy to imagine how bad it can get if millions are scrambling when crazy high infection rates are announced. it'll be a nightmare.

Quote
There's a lot of concerned people out there that consider the last few days to be the "mass panic", but imo they don't realize that this is just the early stages of the pandemic; the real panic has yet to come. How will western society react once they realize their city is now an epicenter of an outbreak and a potential quarantine is being imposed?

yea we haven't seen anything yet.

how will western society react once the health care systems & law enforcement are completely overloaded? or hospitals/health care workers themselves becoming infected?

or how citizens react to mandatory lockdown/quarantine, with rationed supplies/food/etc?

regarding law enforcement.. not going to be easy to get law enforcement to enter infection riddled areas to stop looting/crime/etc.

would be great if that's all just doomsday imaginary nonsense, but the way it's looking right now.. seems to be a likely possibility.

millions of infections will just destroy everything.. until we ride it out (several months down the road) and develop vaccines etc.

dno.

adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #38 on: March 07, 2020, 01:27:45 am »
+1
How will the global economy be impacted by the novel coronavirus? The N.A. stock markets have had a rough couple of weeks and it may continue to get worse in the upcoming months. I recently accepted a new job and tbh I'm getting increasingly worried about job stability in the next few months. 

yea man, rough :/

hoping everything will be fine with your situation.

Quote
Sequoia Capital (a major tech VC firm) considers the virus to be a "black swan" event: https://medium.com/sequoia-capital/coronavirus-the-black-swan-of-2020-7c72bdeb9753

Quote
What is a Black Swan?
A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, their severe impact, and the practice of explaining widespread failure to predict them as simple folly in hindsight.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/blackswan.asp

Quote
It will take considerable time — perhaps several quarters — before we can be confident that the virus has been contained.

scary shit.

it's def black swan status. the global economy is about to implode. hoping the virus itself is somehow less lethal than expected.

pc!

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #39 on: March 07, 2020, 01:28:58 am »
+1
Quote
yea we haven't seen anything yet.

how will western society react once the health care systems & law enforcement are completely overloaded? or hospitals/health care workers themselves becoming infected?

or how citizens react to mandatory lockdown/quarantine, with rationed supplies/food/etc?

regarding law enforcement.. not going to be easy to get law enforcement to enter infection riddled areas to stop looting/crime/etc.

would be great if that's all just doomsday imaginary nonsense, but the way it's looking right now.. seems to be a likely possibility.

millions of infections will just destroy everything.. until we ride it out (several months down the road) and develop vaccines etc.

dno.

Agreed. It's unlikely that society breaks down because of this virus, but people do crazy things when backed into a corner.. remember the Katrina fallout? I hope society doesn't devolve into chaos, but I think it's a good idea for everyone to be mentally prepared for such a scenario. That doesn't mean acting irrationally and becoming apathetic because the world is ending, but people should be mentally prepared for a worst case scenario in the united states (and across the world) if things quickly turn bad. I have a couple of friends that find this news to be very distressing (too stressful to even think about) and while I understand their perspective, they need to accept that it's happening. Which means staying informed and begin taking steps to ensure their health and sanity (because I can guarantee that if things do turn sour, it will be much more distressing.)

I personally have a 2+ months worth of food just in case and have been working remotely for the last two weeks (and will for the foreseeable future.) Anyone that has the ability to WFH absolutely must act responsibly and start working remotely and reducing their time outside, if not for there own health then for all those people that are extremely vulnerable to this illness (immunocompromised, elderly, obese, diabetic, heart issues, etc.)
« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 01:41:13 am by robo »

adarqui

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32822
  • who run it.
  • Respect: +8336
    • View Profile
    • Email
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #40 on: March 07, 2020, 03:16:01 am »
0
^^ will check that tmw.

but this real quick:

nba preparing to play games w/o fans.

lebron saying he isn't playing games w/o fans.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/07/nba-tells-teams-to-prep-plans-for-games-without-fans-due-to-coronavirus.html

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #41 on: March 07, 2020, 12:18:24 pm »
+1
Quote
nba preparing to play games w/o fans.

lebron saying he isn't playing games w/o fans.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/07/nba-tells-teams-to-prep-plans-for-games-without-fans-due-to-coronavirus.html

This will be interesting to watch unfold over the next few weeks :/

Lebron is asked about the coronavirus at 7:10 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04bszP36tuw&t=430s

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04bszP36tuw" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04bszP36tuw</a>
« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 12:20:13 pm by robo »

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #42 on: March 07, 2020, 12:22:15 pm »
+1
Boomer Rick Santelli on CNBC: "Maybe we'd be better off if we just gave it to everybody"

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvv6VffO83E" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvv6VffO83E</a>
« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 12:57:02 pm by robo »

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #43 on: March 07, 2020, 12:26:15 pm »
+1
Quote
BREAKING: New York Governor Cuomo declares state of emergency due to coronavirus

Cuomo says the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in New York has risen to 76, up from 44 yesterday

- BNO Newsroom

https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1236341596695801856


As of 17:14 (GMT) March 7, 2020 there have been:
  • 105,360 Cases
  • 3,561 Deaths
  • 58,199 Recovered

It's also worth checking their coverage of the novel coronavirus, it's been a solid source of tracking the virus (the above numbers are from this source):
 
https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 12:41:07 pm by robo »

robo

  • Jr. Member
  • **
  • Posts: 68
  • Respect: +67
    • View Profile
Re: coronavirus
« Reply #44 on: March 07, 2020, 03:14:27 pm »
+1
Dr. Richard Hatchett | CEO of the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations

He claims the novel coronavirus is the scariest outbreak he's dealt with in his 20-year career.

You should watch the entire video
Claims - https://youtu.be/dcJDpV-igjs?t=430
He makes the claim around 18:00 -  https://youtu.be/dcJDpV-igjs?t=1080

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcJDpV-igjs" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcJDpV-igjs</a>
« Last Edit: March 07, 2020, 08:29:08 pm by robo »